Thursday 27/06/2024
IBKR Offers Commission-Free Trading on ForecastEx
GREENWICH, Conn., June 27 (Bernama-BUSINESS WIRE) -- Interactive Brokers Group (Nasdaq: IBKR), an automated global electronic broker, is pleased to announce that its wholly-owned subsidiary, ForecastEx LLC, has received the necessary designations from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to operate a contract market and derivative clearing organization. ForecastEx starts operations on Monday, July 8, 2024, and Interactive Brokers clients from eligible countries will have immediate access. Interactive Brokers is the first Futures Commission Merchant to join as an exchange member.
“ForecastEx is a prediction market that we have been working on and experimenting with for nearly 10 years,” said Thomas Peterffy, Chairman and Founder of Interactive Brokers Group. “Planning for the future is the ultimate task for any business leader, government official or individual. For those plans to work according to expectations, they must fit into unfolding conditions resulting from all our actions. The more perfect information we have about the state of the world, the more perfectly we can plan and coordinate our actions. Markets are the most direct ways of expressing our unbiased expectations, and market prices tell us the prevailing consensus. We may adjust our plans based on consensus forecasts or express our disagreement to earn a profit or hedge our exposures.”
Contracts listed on ForecastEx are simple and intuitive. For example, suppose an investor believes an event will occur, such as an increase in the US Consumer Price Index above a specific value. In that case, they can buy a "yes" contract. Conversely, if they think the event will not happen, they can purchase a "no" contract. Contract purchase prices range from $0.02 and $0.99. The value of these contracts will continue to fluctuate based on market participants’ evolving judgment of probabilities, directly reflecting the collective market view of the likelihood of the event. Upon the event's resolution (e.g., the moment the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announces the CPI), the contract settles at a predefined value — $1 for a correct contract and $0 for the incorrect one.
ForecastEx contracts are ideal for establishing the consensus view on controversial issues and hedging economic exposure.
ForecastEx contracts for the following indicators will be immediately available:
Economic